Silver Book Fact

Rise in life expectancy by 2050

Government forecasts may have underestimated life expectancy by inadvertently leaving out the effect of advances in biomedical techology that delay the onset of disease or slow the aging process. Results from the study indicate that in 2050, the rise in life expectancy at birth for men and women combined may be closer to 7.9 years, not 3.1 as currently forecasted by the U.S. Social Security Administration and U.S. Census Bureau.

Olshansky S, Goldman D, Zheng Y, Rowe J. Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society. Milbank Quarterly. 2009; 87(4). http://www.milbank.org/870404.html

Reference

Title
Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society
Publication
Milbank Quarterly
Publication Date
2009
Authors
Olshansky S, Goldman D, Zheng Y, Rowe J
Volume & Issue
Volume 87, Issue 4
URL
Read Full Resource

Categories

  • Life Expectancy
  • Future Demographics

Related Facts

  • Life expectancy at age 85 by gender
    Women age 85 in the U.S. can expect to live an additional 7.2 years; men an additional 6.1 years.  
  • Life expectancy increases, 1900-1960 and 1960-2003
    Life expectancy at age 65 increased by only 2.5 years between 1900 and 1960, but has increased by 4.2 years from 1960 to 2003.  
  • Life expectancy between 2000 and 2010
    The life expectancy at birth for men increased by 2.1 years between 2000 and 2010, and by 1.7 years for women.  
  • Difference in life expectancy by race
    Between 2003 and 2013, the difference between the life expectancy of the white population and the black population decreased 2.3 years.  
  • Life expectancy at birth, by race and sex: United States, 1975-2005 final and 2006 preliminary
    Life expectancy at birth, by race and sex: United States, 1975-2005 final and 2006 preliminary