Chronic Disease  /  Future Human Burden

While medical innovations and public health gains in the past century have been measurable in leaps and bounds, significant progress against acute disease has revealed an equally enormous challenge—chronic disease on an unprecedented scale. Close to half of Americans have chronic conditions and 1 in 4 have more than one. They cause 7 out of every 10 deaths and cost our country 75 cents of every health care dollar. With chronic disease prevalence growing at a faster rate than the population as a whole, the forecast is daunting.

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    • Proportion of Americans Age 65 and Older with Alzheimer’s Disease by Stage of Disease, 2010–2050  
    • CBO’s 75-Year Projections for Total National Health Spending  
    • Percentage of the Population With Chronic Diseases, 1995-2030  
    • 46 million more Americans are projected to have at least one chronic condition in 2030 than in 2000.  
    • The number of people with chronic conditions exceeded a previous prediction by reaching 125 million in 2000 and will grow to almost 157 million by 2020.  
    • In 2005, 133 million people had at least one chronic condition. The number will increase to 157 million by 2020.  
    • Projected Rise in Cases of Chronic Diseases, 2003-2023  
    • As the baby boomers age, deaths from heart disease are projected to increase 2.5 times faster than the population as a whole, and the prevalence of heart disease is projected…  
    • By 2020, 81 million people will have 2 or more chronic conditions.  
    • Between 2000 and 2030, the number of Americans with 1 or more chronic conditions will increase by 37%–46 million people.  
    • The Number of People with Chronic Condtions is Rapidly Increasing  
    • By 2030, 20% of the population will be people age 65 and older with chronic conditions.