Silver Book Fact

Rise in life expectancy by 2050

Government forecasts may have underestimated life expectancy by inadvertently leaving out the effect of advances in biomedical techology that delay the onset of disease or slow the aging process. Results from the study indicate that in 2050, the rise in life expectancy at birth for men and women combined may be closer to 7.9 years, not 3.1 as currently forecasted by the U.S. Social Security Administration and U.S. Census Bureau.

Olshansky, S. Jay, Dana P. Goldman, Yuhui Zheng, and John W. Rowe. Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic Forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society. Milbank Quarterly. 2009; 87(4). http://www.milbank.org/870404.html

Reference

Title
Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic Forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society
Publication
Milbank Quarterly
Publication Date
2009
Authors
Olshansky, S. Jay, Dana P. Goldman, Yuhui Zheng, and John W. Rowe
Volume & Issue
Volume 87, Issue 4
URL
Read Full Resource

Categories

  • Life Expectancy
  • Future Demographics

Related Facts

  • Life expectancy trends in 20th century
    During the twentieth century, life expectancy at birth increased from 48 to 74 years for men, and from 51 to almost 80 years for women.  
  • U.S. life expectancy rankings in 2004
    The United States ranked 9th for men and women in life expectancy at 65 years of age in 2004.  
  • Increase in life expectancy between 1931-2006
    Life expectancy at age 65 in the United States increased from 12.2 years in 1929–1931 to 18.5 years in 2006.  
  • Life expectancy at birth, 2010
    In 2010, the life expectancy at birth for men was 76.2 years and 81.0 years for women.  
  • 1999-2014 death rates for all causes of death among 65+
    “Between 1999 and 2014, age-adjusted death rates for all causes of death among people age 65 and over declined by 20 percent.”