Silver Book Fact

Rise in life expectancy by 2050

Government forecasts may have underestimated life expectancy by inadvertently leaving out the effect of advances in biomedical techology that delay the onset of disease or slow the aging process. Results from the study indicate that in 2050, the rise in life expectancy at birth for men and women combined may be closer to 7.9 years, not 3.1 as currently forecasted by the U.S. Social Security Administration and U.S. Census Bureau.

Olshansky, S. Jay, Dana P. Goldman, Yuhui Zheng, and John W. Rowe. Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic Forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society. Milbank Quarterly. 2009; 87(4). http://www.milbank.org/870404.html

Reference

Title
Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic Forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society
Publication
Milbank Quarterly
Publication Date
2009
Authors
Olshansky, S. Jay, Dana P. Goldman, Yuhui Zheng, and John W. Rowe
Volume & Issue
Volume 87, Issue 4
URL
Read Full Resource

Categories

  • Life Expectancy
  • Future Demographics

Related Facts

  • Death rates for men, 1900 and 2007
    Between 1900 and 2007, death rates for men aged 65-74 decreased by 41.6% and by 29.5% for men aged 75-84.  
  • Life expectancy increases, 1900-1960 and 1960-2003
    Life expectancy at age 65 increased by only 2.5 years between 1900 and 1960, but has increased by 4.2 years from 1960 to 2003.  
  • Life expectancy at ages 65 and 85, by sex, selected years 1900-2004
    Life expectancy at ages 65 and 85, by sex, selected years 1900-2004  
  • Life expectancy at 90 years of age
    Today a person 90 years of age is expected to live on average another 4.6 years (versus 3.2 years in 1929–1931), and those who pass the century mark are projected…  
  • Life expectancy at age 65, 1960 and 2006
    The life expectancy of those who lived to age 65 in 2006 is 18.5 more years, while those who lived to the same age in 1960 expected only 4 more…