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Home > Cost of Chronic Disease > Chronic Disease > The Future Economic Cost of Chronic Disease

Absent policy change, the Congressional Budget Office estimates that Medicare spending will grow at an average of 7% each year from 2010 to 2018, rising to $879 billion annually and 4% of GDP. The rate of growth of Medicare spending over the long term is predicted to exceed the rate of growth in federal revenues and the overall economy.


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Thorpe, Kenneth E., Lydia L. Ogden, and Katya Galactionova. "Chronic Conditions Account for Rise in Medicare Spending From 1987 to 2006". Health Affairs. Vol. 29, No. 4,  [ Permalink ]