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Home > The Growing Older Population > Future Demographics

There are 38 facts in this category.

Projected U.S. Population Aged 65 and Older: 2010 to 2050
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United States Census Bureau. "2008 National Population Projections". August 2008.  [ Permalink ]
Projected U.S. Population Aged 65 and Older: 2010 to 2050

On January 1, 2011, as the baby boomers begin to celebrate their 65th birthdays, 10,000 people will turn 65 every day--this will continue for 20 years.
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Alliance for Aging Research. "Alliance for Aging Research Home Page".  [ Permalink ]

By 2045, the number of centenarians in the United States is projected to reach 757,000.
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United States Census Bureau. "Projections of the Total Resident Population by 5-Year Age Groups, Race, and Hispanic Origin with Special Age Categories: Middle series, 2025 to 2045".  [ Permalink ]

Projected Percent of U.S. Population Aged 65 and Older: 2010 to 2050
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United States Census Bureau. "2008 National Population Projections". August 2008.  [ Permalink ]
Projected Percent of U.S. Population Aged 65 and Older: 2010 to 2050

The 55-64 population is projected to be the fastest growing segment of the adult population over the next 10 years.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2029, all of the baby boomers will be age 65 and older.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

Between 2004 and 2050, the 65-74 population will increase from 6% to 9% of the total and the 75 and older population will increase from 6% to 12%. By the year 2040, the 75 and older population will be larger than the 65-74 population.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

The 65 and older population will increase to 40 million in 2010, and then to 55 million in 2020.
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The number of people age 85 and older is projected to be 6.1 million in 2010, and increase to 7.3 million in 2020.
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By 2050, the 65 and older population is projected to be close to 87 million. The 75 and older population is projected to be close to 49 million.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2030, the 65 and older population is projected to be over 71 million. The 75 and older population is projected to be over 33 million.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2040, the 65 and older population is projected to be over 80 million. The 75 and older population is projected to be over 44 million.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2020, the 65 and older population is projected to be over 54 million. The 75 and older population is projected to be close to 23 million.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2010, the 65 and older population is projected to be over 40 million. The 75 and older population is projected to be close to 19 million.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

By 2050, individuals ages 65-74 are projected to make up 9% of the population. Individuals ages 75 and older are projected to make up 11.6% of the population.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

Between 2004 and 2014, the population 55-64 years of age is projected to increased by 35.9%. Between 2004 and 2024 it is projected to increase by 42.9%.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

Between 2004 and 2014, the 65 and older population is projected to increase by 25.2%. Between 2004 and 2024, it is projected to increase by 70.2%.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2005: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2005. [ Permalink ]

Projected Population Growth
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, National Center for Health Statistics. Health, United States, 2006: With chartbook on trends in the health of Americans. Hyattsville, MD: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 2006. [ Permalink ]

Changing Demographics of the U.S. Population, 2000-2100
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PhRMA. The Value of Medicines: Facts and figures 2006. Washington, D.C.: 2006. [ Permalink ]

Because of longer life spans and aging baby boomers, the U.S. population aged 65 and older will double to 71 million (20% of the population) by 2030.
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Merk Institute of Aging and Health. The State of Aging and Health in America 2007. Washington, D.C.: Merk Institute of Aging and Health. 2007. [ Permalink ]

In 2030, it is expected that the older population will total 71.5 million people (20% of the total population)--twice as many as in 2000.
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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2008: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: U.S. Government printing office. 2008. [ Permalink ]

The U.S. Census Bureau projects that the 85 and over population could grow from 5.3 million in 2006 to about 21 million by 2050.
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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2008: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: U.S. Government printing office. 2008. [ Permalink ]

Population Growth
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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2006: Key indicators of well-being. Washington, D.C.: U.S. Government Printing Office. 2006. [ Permalink ]

Figure 1: Number of Persons 65+, 1900-2003 (numbers in millions)
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The U.S. census bureau projects a rise in the 65 and older population, from 12.4% in 2003 to 17.4% in 2030.
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DeVol, Ross, Armen Bedroussian, Anita Charuworn, Anusuya Chatterjee, In Kyu Kim, Soojung Kim, and Kevin Klowden . An Unhealthy America: The economic burden of chronic disease. The Milken Institute. October 2007. [ Permalink ]

Population Projections: 65 and over
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DeVol, Ross, Armen Bedroussian, Anita Charuworn, Anusuya Chatterjee, In Kyu Kim, Soojung Kim, and Kevin Klowden . An Unhealthy America: The economic burden of chronic disease. The Milken Institute. October 2007. [ Permalink ]

Number of Persons 65+, 1900-2030 (in millions)
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Administration on Aging. A Profile of Older Americans: 2007. Washington, DC: United States Department of Health and Human Services. 2007. [ Permalink ]

Number of people age 65 and over, by age group, selected years 1900-2006 and projected 2010-2050
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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2008: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: U.S. Government printing office. 2008. [ Permalink ]

Government forecasts may have underestimated life expectancy by inadvertently leaving out the effect of advances in biomedical techology that delay the onset of disease or slow the aging process. Results from the study indicate that in 2050, the rise in life expectancy at birth for men and women combined may be closer to 7.9 years, not 3.1 as currently forecasted by the U.S. Social Security Administration and U.S. Census Bureau.


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Olshansky, S. Jay, Dana P. Goldman, Yuhui Zheng, and John W. Rowe. "Aging in America in the Twenty-first Century: Demographic Forecasts from the MacArthur Foundation Research Network on an Aging Society". Milbank Quarterly. Vol. 87, No. 4,  [ Permalink ]

The American population 65 and over will increase from 35 million in 2000 to 40 million in 2010 (15% increase) and then to 55 million in 2020 (36% increase for that decade).


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Administration on Aging. A Profile of Older Americans: 2009. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. 2009. [ Permalink ]

The 85 and over population in the U.S. is projected to increase from 4.2 million in 2000 to 5.7 million in 2010 (36% increase) and then to 6.6 million in 2020 (15% increase for that decade).


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Administration on Aging. A Profile of Older Americans: 2009. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. 2009. [ Permalink ]

By 2030, the segment of the U.S. population aged 65 and older is expected to double. At that time, the estimated 71 million older Americans will make up approximately 20% of the total population.


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Alzheimer's Association. Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures 2010. 2010. [ Permalink ]

In 2010, more than 5.5 million Americans are age 85 and older; by 2050, that number will nearly quadruple to 19 million.


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Alzheimer's Association. Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures 2010. 2010. [ Permalink ]

About 2.4 million Americans age 85 and older have Alzheimer's disease (47% of the Alzheimer's population 65 and older). When the first wave of Baby Boomers reaches age 85 (year 2031), approximately 3.5 million people age 85 and older will have Alzheimer's.


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Alzheimer's Association. Alzheimer's Disease Facts and Figures 2010. 2010. [ Permalink ]

Total Population, by age: United States, 1980-2050


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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Health, United States, 2009. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. 2009. [ Permalink ]

Population age 65 and over and age 85 and over: selected years 1900-2008 and projected 2010-2050


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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2010: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: US Government Priting Office. 2010. [ Permalink ]
population

The population of those aged 85 and over is projected to grow from 5.7 million in 2008 to over 19 million by 2050.


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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2010: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: US Government Priting Office. 2010. [ Permalink ]

The 65 and older population is project to be twice as large in 2030 as in 2000, growing from 35 million to 72 million; almost 20% of the U.S. population


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Federal Interagency Forum on Aging-Related Statistics. Older Americans 2010: Key Indicators of Well-Being. Washington, DC: US Government Priting Office. 2010. [ Permalink ]